Toilet Bowl RD1: 2016

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Chamberlain Conference
#1 LA Buffy (9-9-1) vs #4 Jedi Knights (1-18)
After starting of 3-1, Buffy took a six game losing streak mid-season that saw them slide into mediocrity. Then again, all six of those losses came against playoff teams so maybe Buffy ain’t so bad. They went 6-2-1 against easier competition and are now poised as the “best” Toilet Bowl team. An infusion of young talent — Hi Ben Simmons! — would serve this team well. The pre-draft trade for Isaiah Thomas (and Danilo Gallinari) was a big success, and 2015 first rounder Khris Middleton has quietly averaged 18.6 PTS, 4.2 AST, 4.0 REB, 1.9 3PT, 1.6 STL on the season. George Hill and Robin Lopez have been handy, but there isn’t too much depth on this roster. And it looks like Tim Duncan’s days as a keeper are likely over, despite still averaging 8.6 PTS, 7.4 REB, 1.3 BLK, on 48.7 FG%. We’d love to see this two time division winner get back to contender status and missing the playoffs and getting a deep Toilet Bowl run could just be the answer.

After two semi-encouraging five win seasons, Jedi Knight slumped to a new low: just one win over the regular season (they had two wins in a strike-shortened 2012). And it’s not like GM Lum wasn’t active this year, he made a few roster moves — plus a trade for Brandon Knight — but wins just weren’t easy to come by. The leaders for Games Played for Jedi: Monta Ellis, Thaddeus Young, Al-Farouq Aminu, Emmanuel Mudiay, Otto Porter, Isaiah Canaan, Roy Hibbert, and Deron Williams. Throw in injuries to Al Jefferson and Kelly Olynyk and there wasn’t a whole lot of excitement for this team anywhere. At least rookie Mudiay is kind of turning it on as the season winds down, averaging 18.6 PTS, 6.4 AST, 3.9 REB, 1.9 3PT on 45.1 FG% during the last two weeks. If he and Knight can team up effectively next year, Knights have the beginnings of a good backcourt to maybe crawl their way out of the cellar. Again.

#2 Silent Crows (9-9-1) vs #3 Squirtle Squad (3-15-1)
Our 2014 champions almost made the playoffs again but lost out on a three way tie-breaker. With Blake Griffin missing about half the season, a 0.500 record can be seen as almost a victory. However, the tear down might be beginning as Griffin and Carmelo Anthony are still around but Dirk Nowitzki was just moved for injury plagued Bradley Beal. He’ll join Derrick Rose and Avery Bradley in the backcourt and offensive super sub Enes Kanter. Bradley has been very good this season, knocking down 2.1 3PT for 15.1 PTS and producing 1.5 STL. The Crows also could have some interesting keeper decisions on the wing with Rodney Hood, Doug McDermott, and the possible re-emergence of Markieff Morris. For now though, Crows will try to get to the Toilet Bowl finals and secure a top pick.

After four straight years in the post-season, Brian’s Squirtles found themselves with a franchise low three wins (their previous low was eight) and a full on rebuild. Nikola Vucevic led the team in scoring with 17.8 PTS this season and that’s nice for Vucevic but not great for Squirtles. The good news is that Giannais Antetokounmpo has been a triple-double threat (finally) and Zach LaVine is getting all the minutes and shots he can handle. Add in a better than ever Chandler Parsons and we can see the multi-dimensional attack that Squirtles could field next season. Adding Goran Dragic in a last minute trade — in exchange for Serge Ibaka — ups this team’s offensive potential even more. We’re thinking Willie Cauley-Stein might step into Ibaka’s role next season but who’s to say what players GM Brian will keep. All we know is that we don’t expect this team to miss the post-season again next year, and Squirtles could be downright frightening if they can somehow find their way to a Toilet Bowl finals.

Russell Conference
#1 So Buckets (8-10-1) vs #4 NJ All-Stars (4-14-1)
Is Kyrie Irving a franchise player? When Irving plays he’s fantastic but season after season Irving seems to miss almost half the available games… Buckets once again finished 8-10-1 and missed out on the postseason, but there’s the tale of two halves. This team started off 1-9 but righted the ship and wrapped up 7-1-1 to close the year. Also, they kept unearthing gems as the season went along. Old vet Marvin Williams was solid all season long as a small ball four, and then Aaron Gordon, Myles Turner, and Mirza Teletovic all got going recently, with all three putting up some ridiculous stat lines. DeMar DeRozan is still filling up buckets and Pau Gasol is averaging an eye-popping 17.0 PTS, 11.1 REB, 4.1 AST, 2.0 BLK. (We would have loved to see Pau Gasol moved to a contender but that was not to be.) Even though Rudy Gobert missed a lot of games this year, he’s healthy now and could have Joel Embiid join him next season. Overall, So Buckets is overflowing with young talent and if they can stay somewhat healthy, they’ll be right back to challenging for a division title. Plus they could easily take a Toilet Bowl win this season as the hottest team entering the losers bracket.

The All-Stars planned to bottom out this year but maybe they didn’t expect a 0-7-1 record to start the year. After entering SlamNation on a gigantic high, Eddie now is in the midst of a rebuild. Gone is LeBron James and Kyle Lowry. The good news is that they have a bunch of Chunky Monkey picks coming and while Andrew Wiggins and Jabari Parker aren’t exactly multi-cat fantasy stars, they are getting better, especially Parker’s recent run of 21.2 PTS, 6.7 REB, 1.4 STL. Paul George is all the way back from a horrific leg injury and is a top ten fantasy force. With Reggie Jackson also having a stellar campaign, there’s a nice core here. Plus two of Gary Harris, Nikola Jokic, Dennis Schroder, Stanley Johnson, and Nikola Mirotic to continue growing. We don’t see a deep Toilet Bowl run this season but no worries, the All-Stars will shine again soon enough.

#2 MoRRie’s Pogiboys (5-12-2) vs #3 Funk Coalition (6-13)
Rumors swirl that Pogiboy fans are losing patience with owner Alvin’s stewardship. After five seasons of climbing up the hill to respectability, Pogiboys finally broke through last year to a division title and even a playoff victory. And now a team with Anthony Davis, a healthy Brook Lopez, a ridiculous Draymond Green (13.7 PTS, 9.6 REB, 7.4 AST, 1.5 STL, 1.3 BLK, 1.2 3PT), and Mike Conley, Victor Oladipo, and the erratic Elfrid Payton can’t even sniff the playoffs. After ranking last in moves this season, heads are likely to roll in Pogi-land unless another deep Toilet Bowl run is in the cards. Then again, if Pogiboys gets another top rookie then we think Alvin’s just been trolling us all along as he continues to collect talent... For what though?

Well, it’s safe to say the big ball experiment may be over. Or maybe Funk needs to push even harder, as they were only first in REB, second in FG%, fourth in AST / BLK / STL, while basically punting three categories. Still, after starting off the season challenging for a playoff spot, the season ending eight game slide has to give GM Jon pause. Even adding a future Hall-of-Famer in 2016 #1 overall pick Karl-Anthony Towns, a healthy season from Ricky Rubio, and a 11.9 PTS, 11.9 AST, 6.1 REB, 1.9 STL (plus a shocking 0.8 3PT) from Rajon Rondo wasn’t enough to give this flawed team many wins. The recent trade for Tobias Harris indicates that this team might be ready to move on from the punt everthing strategy. Funk remains dangerous due to its weird composition, but mostly they’ve just hamstrung themselves. Editor’s note: I still think I can beat Sour Snails, just let me at them!!!

RD1 Previews: 2016

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Chamberlain Conference
#1 Sour Snails (19-0) vs #4 Fob Stars (9-9-1)
There’s not a whole left lot to say when you go undefeated during the regular season and are possibly a mere formality away from repeating as champs. Back-to-back no less. Of course, Trieu always keeps it interesting as he shuffled the deck in the past week by making two trades. A huge one that moved out DeMarcus Cousins and Rudy Gay for Hassan Whiteside and Bradley Beal, and then a follow-up deal that saw Beal get moved for Dirk Nowitzki. So now the Snails will feature an entirely four out offense with Whiteside dashing to (and protecting) the rim, while all those nasty guards bomb away. The only downside here is that Jimmy Butler could be on the mend, giving opposing teams a slight — very slight — chance at an upset. Someone stop this juggernaut!

As for Fob Stars, they made the playoffs after a 3-6 end to the season, after being engaged in a three way tie-breaker, but evidently they aren’t here to challenge Snails as Coach Jimmy already sat season MVP Kemba Walker for Monday night’s game. Walker has been outstanding this season, to the tune of 21.5 PTS, 5.3 AST, 4.4 REB, 2.2 3PT, 1.7 STL, on a career high 43.6 FG%. Paired with emerging rookie D’Angelo Russell, Fob Stars finally has a top notch backcourt to go with a plethora of multi-dimensional frontline guys — Nerlens Noel, Ryan Anderson, Marcin Gortat, Zach Randolph — but it looks like they’ll eat a first round loss and wait around for next year.

#2 Another Bad Creation (13-6) vs #3 Fat Jubas (11-7-1)
After dropping out of the playoffs last season, mostly due to Kevin Durant’s injury woes, ABC returned to take the Transformers division title post-name change from “Half Man Half ImAsian.” Surprisingly, for such a consistently solid team, this is owner Oliver’s first division title. With a six game winning streak mid-season, plus riding high on blowout wins over the past month, Durant and Co. are poised to get to a conference finals. Adding a healthy Dwayne Wade has been a huge boon for this team, as expected, and rookie Jahlil Okafor was putting up excellent 17.5 PTS, 8.0 REB, 1.2 BLK, 50.8 FG% until he torn his meniscus and will be lost for the post-season — just like Alec Burks, who hasn’t played much this year. Still, ABC has Durant, Wade, LaMarcus Aldridge, Greg Monroe, the shooting of JJ Redick and Wes Mathews, and the big butt of Jared Sullinger to create a deep and versatile mix. Let’s see if Durant can power this team to the Finals!

As for the Jubas, our 2012 champs notched another eleven win season and are right back in the mix as a contender. They have their injury woes too, as Chris Bosh is sitting on IR and not available for the playoff run, and talks before the trade deadline to replace him didn’t pan out. Chris Paul has a new group to work with though, as Gordon Hayward, CJ McCollum, and Will Barton all put up career numbers this season. McCollum especially, exploded on the scene for 20.7 PTS, 4.1 AST, 2.4 3PT, and 1.1 STL. Nic Batum returned from injury to his multi-skilled form and it seems like Jonas Valanciunas has settled into being almost a double-double guy. Fat Jubas has beaten ABC twice before already during the regular season, so it’s possible we see an upset by Eric here...

Russell Conference
#1 Team Spade (15-4) vs #4 Soup Dumplings (10-9)
Spade wins yet another Thundercats division title, their third and second in a row, and keeps alive the longest streak of never having missed the post-season. Impressive stuff. Aside from that sour tasting undefeated achatinoidea in the other conference, Spade is looking like the best bet to take the title. Already touting a seriously balanced keeper core of Kawhi Leonard, Al Horford, Paul Millsap, Kevin Love, Eric Bledsoe, and um, Kobe Bryant, Spade added some new pieces with great mid-season pickups like Ish Smith and rookie Devin Booker, who are both full on breaking out. Plus, Jrue Holiday is back to full health and ripping it up again, and so the loss of Bledsoe to season-ending injury might not be enough to slow Randall’s squad on the way to his first Finals appearance. Since this is Kobe’s farewell tour, it should be noted that he started twenty-two games for Spade this year, and put up 16.8 PTS, 4.1 REB, 3.1 AST, 1.9 3PT during his swan song, albeit at 35.6 FG%. Can Spade give Kobe a championship send off?

Nobody could have expected such a successful rookie season from first-time fantasy owner Brandon. (As you’ll recall, he also came in the middle of a huge pre-draft controversy, where the old owner was accused of cheating!) GM Brandon gave Coach Brandon rookie Kristaps Porzingis and then used a fearsome frontline — Derrick Favors, Dwight Howard, Kenneth Faried — to comfortably get into the post-season. The only big disappointment all season long was Danny Green, who regressed badly this year, forcing the trade of Gorgui Dieng for a useable swingman, Evan Fournier. So while GM Brandon works to fill out the pieces around his Zinger, it looks like he’ll be able to compete while building up a contender. Soup Dumplings face a huge challenge against a powerful #1 seed but having already exceeded expectations all season long, there’s a puncher's chance that this mix-and-match team could pull of a gigantic upset.

#2 Death Star (11-6-2) vs #3 Chunky Monkeys (13-5-1)
Monster trades! We love these two owners because both Thien and Evan are willing to back their bets with pre, mid, and late season trades. Thien went to last year’s Finals and didn’t quite get a win but then traded with brother Trieu for DeMarcus Cousins and Rudy Gay — Gay returns after being moved in 2013. That immediately ups the offensive ceiling for this team by a lot and gives John Wall and Damian Lillard another post up option to dump the ball to, next to Julius Randle, who is having a fine (basically) rookie season. Also, in somewhat amazing fashion, David Lee and Michael Beasley are bothplaying well, giving Death Star some much needed depth, especially since Tyreke Evans is out for the season. While Death Star is nominally a higher seed due to their Voltron division title, they are actually facing an uphill battle in the first round. The new trade acquisitions are a lot of firepower though, so it’ll be interesting to see how adding Cousins and Gay can change the equation this week.

As for Chunky Monkeys, their pre-season dreams were a little dimmed as they started off 6-4-1, which is nice but isn’t exactly contender worthy. A team that goes all-in, and trades for LeBron James to pair with James Harden, shouldn’t just be 6-4-1. Since then however, the Monkeys have hit their stride and went 7-1 the rest of the way, with that lone loss being a WK19 matchup against Spade. Not bad. And GM Evan finally moved one of those excess guards for another big man, and what a perfect piece he found. Although Marc Gasol is out for the year, trading Goran Dragic (and Meyers Leonard) for Serge Ibaka is a beautiful move, giving Monkeys a shot blocker who could win any week by himself. With LeBron, Harden, and Kyle Lowry, this team has a top three to compete with anyone, and they also have some interesting wings in Robert Covington and Jae Crowder to put out there, although Crowder and his sneaky all-around stat line could miss up to two weeks. If Monkeys wants to make 2016 their title year, they’ll have to pull off an upset in every round to do it... Do you believe?!

Playoff & Toilet Bowl Seedings: 2016

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PLAYOFFS
  *= division winner
Chamberlain Conference
#1 Sour Snails (19-0)*
#2 Another Bad Creation (13-6)*
#3 Fat Jubas (11-7-1)
#4 Fob Stars (9-9-1)

Russell Conference
#1 Team Spade (15-4)*
#2 Death Star (11-6-2)*
#3 Chunky Monkeys (13-5-1)
#4 Soup Dumplings (10-9)


TOILET BOWL
Chamberlain Conference
#1 LA Buffy (9-9-1)
#2 Silent Crows (9-9-1)
#3 Squirtle Squad (3-15-1)
#4 Jedi Knights (1-18)

Russell Conference
#1 So Buckets (8-10-1)
#2 MoRRie’s Pogiboys (5-12-2)
#3 Funk Coalition (6-13)
#4 NJ All-Stars (4-14-1)


Tie-Breakers

  • Fob Stars vs LA Buffy vs Silent Crows: A three way tie to see who gets into the playoffs. Record for all three teams H2H against each other: Buffy is 2-1, Fob Stars is 2-1, Silent Crows is 0-3. Crows is out. Then Buffy lost to Fob in WK10 in their lone H2H matchup, so Fob Stars is in the playoffs.
  • LA Buffy vs Silent Crows: Buffy beat Crows in both regular season H2H matchups, so they win the higher Toilet Bowl seed.
  • MoRRie’s Pogiboys (5-12-2) vs Funk Coalition (6-13): Despite different records, both have a 0.312 winning percentage. Pogiboys beat Funk H2H in WK6 so they get the higher seed in the Toilet Bowl.

Final Standings 2016

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Sequel Same as Original

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I don’t how we missed this one but there was a trade last week! Let’s take a look at the newly constructed — and newly named — Death Star and their trade partners, Jedi Knights! The trade looks pretty straightforward: two young-ish injury prone guards were swapped for each other in Brandon Knight and Bradley Beal. In fact, their numbers are so similar it’s hard to reason out why this trade even happened. (Sources report that Thien had been shopping Knight around but we thought it would be for a big man.) But we love trades so who cares!

  • ID#60: Jedi Knights receive Brandon Knight from Death Star / High Riser in exchange for Bradley Beal
First up, Brandon Knight, whom we lauded in our look at Voltron division a few weeks ago. With Eric Bledsoe now out for the season, we thought Knight’s numbers would increase but instead he’s been hurt and ceded playing time to some young Suns. Still, Knight is averaging 19.7 PTS, 5.1 AST, 4.0 REB, 2.3 3PT, 1.5 STL, and shooting 42.4 FG%.

Beal, enduring yet another injury ravaged year, has only played twenty-five games this season but is averaging very similar numbers. 18.1 PTS, 3.0 AST, 4.0 REB, 2.0 3PT, 1.0 STL, on 44.9 FG%. Both Beal and Knight also shoot around three FTs per game, with Knight having a slightly higher percentage — which he offsets with slightly higher TOs.

Jedi still has only one win on the season, and haven’t had a victory in ten weeks. Beal wasn’t going to save their season (and didn't last long post last year's trade), and neither will Knight. But we like his slightly stronger AST game for this team. The Knights play the two win Squirtle Squad this week but then face a tough schedule afterwards. With Knight and Al Jefferson both out, it’s probably time for GM Chris to fully turn his attention to acquiring assets for next season.

Death Star has its own share of problems, with a three game losing streak and the frisky Soup Dumplings challenging them for a division title. Injuries are still a problem as Hassan Whiteside, Tyreke Evans, and Eric Gordon are all still out. There have been some flashes from Archie Goodwin, which was probably what pushed Knight out the door. We’ll see if the Suns follow that in real life. Coach Thien will have to pull it together fast if he hopes for a return to the Finals.

With only two trades down this season, can we find a few more?