As we head into our revamped postseason, I just wanted to take the opportunity to remind and clarify the upcoming postseason changes. Please review these two posts too, but this should serve as a mini-explainer: New Postseason 2.0 and Conferences, Re-Seeding, No Roster Lock.
Postseason Setup
• We establish Power Rankings according to regular season finish and then the top eight seeds, #1-8, are slotted into the playoffs while #9-16 are headed to the Toilet Bowl. Note that seeds are assigned irrespective of conferences.
• Every team plays three postseason games, as we will be playing for exact RD1 draft order -- aka "draft slots" -- next season. Thus all sixteen teams will be playing all the way through to consolation games in both playoffs and Toilet Bowl.
• After each postseason round, we reseed matchups accordingly. So if #4 upsets #1 seed, they will face #2 seed in next round.
• The trade deadline goes into effect at the conclusion of the regular season, but free agents and waivers remain available throughout the postseason. Roster lock is now dead!
How Will Next Year's Draft Work?
• Round 1: We play for all draft slots, with Toilet Bowl teams playing for picks *1-8 and the playoff teams playing for *9-16. [Take a look at the bottom of New Postseason 2.0 for round one draft slots image and explainer.]
• Round 2-6: After establishing Power Rankings, starting with RD2, we draft in high to low Power Ranking order, meaning #1-16 teams draft *1-16 picks. After RD2, we start snaking, starting with RD3 and continuing through to RD6.
• #9/10 seeds: Remember that seeds #9 and 10 cannot receive the *1 or *2 overall pick. So even if seeds #9 or 10 win the Toilet Bowl, they will draft *3 at best. Should this happen, the next Toilet Bowl finisher would slide up a slot (or two).
We’ll dub this the “Swamp Rule” after our esteemed Swamp Dragons' back-to-back Toilet Bowl wins with winning records both times.
The Pascal Siakam All-Stars
During last week’s podcast episode -- our first ever! -- Spade owner Randall took a look at Sour Snails’ roster and said that the player which caught his eye was not Steph Curry or Kevin Durant, but Pascal Siakam. “Those are the type of moves that [win you championships]!” Slightly paraphrased, but you get the idea.
With that kind of thinking in mind, I wanted to select a non All-Star team of near All-Stars or players who leap off the page, one from each team. So no LeBron or Giannis here! Instead we'll have some rising youngsters, some old reclamations, and then a few off-the-wall selections that have all been instrumental to their teams' success this season. And for fun, feel free to compare the rosters to our preseason "best keepers" conference teams.
Russell Conference
Led by the scoring of Lauri Markkanen and Buddy Hield, most of this team is young, with sophomores John Collins, Jayson Tatum, De’Aaron Fox, and Markkanen all on the roster. Collins and Markkanen are both nightly double-double threats with poor defensive numbers while Markkanen also puts up a tidy 2.9 3PT. In his third season, Hield has become one of the best shooters in the league and drops in the fourth-best 3PT in the NBA with 3.4 per game.
His Kings teammate De’Aaron Fox has emerged as the best point guard of the 2017 draft class after a disappointing rookie season, and now spearheads the newly dispersed Snack Bears’ attack. Jayson Tatum has been the reverse, unfortunately — better as a rookie than a sophomore — but has added almost a block a game to his repertoire, making him the default Funk Coalition representative in a season of roster changes for them.
Two big men anchor this non-All-Star team: Jusuf Nurkic and Myles Turner. Nurkic is out here making history with his 5x5 game a month ago, after almost getting cut as a keeper by Swamp this offseason. He’s turned that motivation into a double-double season and 2.6 STL/BLK. And Turner has added a three-point shot to his own stat line, while leading the league in blocks, which has made him an important backbone to Indiana and Fat Jubas’ defensive efforts.
And finally there is Larry Nance Jr, who plays for defending champ Chunky Monkeys, who have too many actual All-Stars, so the default selection is Nance, who has surprised as not only a double-double machine but also putting up almost 1/1/1. Impressive glue piece.
Chamberlain Conference
Okay we lied, there is an All-Star in this game and his name is Nikola Vucevic. We could have gone with Kyle Kuzma for Squirtles but Vucevic has really been just too good to overlook and his top ten production was definitely not expected this season. So yes, Vucevic will lead Chamberlain! Joining him will be a pair of other veterans, as Danilo Gallinari and Derrick Rose have both been fantasy stars before — heck Rose was a NBA MVP! Gallinari has put together an injury-free year and thrown up 18.7 PTS and 2.4 3PT a game to help Spade offset the loss of Kevin Love. Rose was almost out of the league but has bounced back to average 18.4 PTS and 4.8 AST when playing and has given So Buckets an extra weapon on a team overflowing with talent.
The rest of the Chamberlain team is young though, highlighted by the emergence of players like Domantas Sabonis, Pascal Siakam, and TJ Warren. Sabonis puts up a double-double on 60.6 FG% and has been great for Buffy while Warren seamlessly added a three-pointer to his midrange game and is now a fully fleshed out fantasy player with 18.0 PTS and 1.9 STL/BLK. Even though he’s been injured recently, Warren should return soon to help Another Bad Creation in the Toilet Bowl. And Siakam is the namesake for this team, so we know he's been stellar.
Add in another almost overqualified player for this Chamberlain team: eventual rookie of the year Luka Doncic. While the efficiency has been poor, Doncic was passed over in both the NBA and SlamNation drafts but has been throwing up regular near-triple doubles of late while averaging 20.8 PTS, 7.1 REB, 5.5 AST per game. He’s probably a little too good to make this list but IL Conceived hasn’t had anyone else as consistent as Luka, who has been great all year and continues to get better.
As for the selection off Hilt the Stilt’s team, we’re going with Derrick White even though he was hurt for some of the season. White’s well-rounded fantasy line doesn’t jump off the page but getting 13.6 PTS, 4.5 REB, 4.1 AST, plus 0.7 BLK from a point guard is pretty nice. Plus Hilt really needed an answer at point guard all year and White’s emergence provided just that solution. There could be a case made here for rookie Mikal Bridges but even though his defensive numbers have been eye-opening, we’re going with Derrick White to round out the Chamberlain squad.
Who Would Win?
Well after compiling the 2019 stats -- some thirty day ones for certain players -- it's clear that Chamberlain would beat Russell 6-3 behind PTS, AST, STL, TO and both percentage categories. Of course that PTS and TO win would be by the narrowest of margins -- 139.7 vs 133.8, and 14.8 to 14.9 TOs. So it's awfully close. Which conference do you think would win?!
With that kind of thinking in mind, I wanted to select a non All-Star team of near All-Stars or players who leap off the page, one from each team. So no LeBron or Giannis here! Instead we'll have some rising youngsters, some old reclamations, and then a few off-the-wall selections that have all been instrumental to their teams' success this season. And for fun, feel free to compare the rosters to our preseason "best keepers" conference teams.
Russell Conference
Led by the scoring of Lauri Markkanen and Buddy Hield, most of this team is young, with sophomores John Collins, Jayson Tatum, De’Aaron Fox, and Markkanen all on the roster. Collins and Markkanen are both nightly double-double threats with poor defensive numbers while Markkanen also puts up a tidy 2.9 3PT. In his third season, Hield has become one of the best shooters in the league and drops in the fourth-best 3PT in the NBA with 3.4 per game.
His Kings teammate De’Aaron Fox has emerged as the best point guard of the 2017 draft class after a disappointing rookie season, and now spearheads the newly dispersed Snack Bears’ attack. Jayson Tatum has been the reverse, unfortunately — better as a rookie than a sophomore — but has added almost a block a game to his repertoire, making him the default Funk Coalition representative in a season of roster changes for them.
Two big men anchor this non-All-Star team: Jusuf Nurkic and Myles Turner. Nurkic is out here making history with his 5x5 game a month ago, after almost getting cut as a keeper by Swamp this offseason. He’s turned that motivation into a double-double season and 2.6 STL/BLK. And Turner has added a three-point shot to his own stat line, while leading the league in blocks, which has made him an important backbone to Indiana and Fat Jubas’ defensive efforts.
And finally there is Larry Nance Jr, who plays for defending champ Chunky Monkeys, who have too many actual All-Stars, so the default selection is Nance, who has surprised as not only a double-double machine but also putting up almost 1/1/1. Impressive glue piece.
Chamberlain Conference
Okay we lied, there is an All-Star in this game and his name is Nikola Vucevic. We could have gone with Kyle Kuzma for Squirtles but Vucevic has really been just too good to overlook and his top ten production was definitely not expected this season. So yes, Vucevic will lead Chamberlain! Joining him will be a pair of other veterans, as Danilo Gallinari and Derrick Rose have both been fantasy stars before — heck Rose was a NBA MVP! Gallinari has put together an injury-free year and thrown up 18.7 PTS and 2.4 3PT a game to help Spade offset the loss of Kevin Love. Rose was almost out of the league but has bounced back to average 18.4 PTS and 4.8 AST when playing and has given So Buckets an extra weapon on a team overflowing with talent.
The rest of the Chamberlain team is young though, highlighted by the emergence of players like Domantas Sabonis, Pascal Siakam, and TJ Warren. Sabonis puts up a double-double on 60.6 FG% and has been great for Buffy while Warren seamlessly added a three-pointer to his midrange game and is now a fully fleshed out fantasy player with 18.0 PTS and 1.9 STL/BLK. Even though he’s been injured recently, Warren should return soon to help Another Bad Creation in the Toilet Bowl. And Siakam is the namesake for this team, so we know he's been stellar.
Add in another almost overqualified player for this Chamberlain team: eventual rookie of the year Luka Doncic. While the efficiency has been poor, Doncic was passed over in both the NBA and SlamNation drafts but has been throwing up regular near-triple doubles of late while averaging 20.8 PTS, 7.1 REB, 5.5 AST per game. He’s probably a little too good to make this list but IL Conceived hasn’t had anyone else as consistent as Luka, who has been great all year and continues to get better.
As for the selection off Hilt the Stilt’s team, we’re going with Derrick White even though he was hurt for some of the season. White’s well-rounded fantasy line doesn’t jump off the page but getting 13.6 PTS, 4.5 REB, 4.1 AST, plus 0.7 BLK from a point guard is pretty nice. Plus Hilt really needed an answer at point guard all year and White’s emergence provided just that solution. There could be a case made here for rookie Mikal Bridges but even though his defensive numbers have been eye-opening, we’re going with Derrick White to round out the Chamberlain squad.
Who Would Win?
Well after compiling the 2019 stats -- some thirty day ones for certain players -- it's clear that Chamberlain would beat Russell 6-3 behind PTS, AST, STL, TO and both percentage categories. Of course that PTS and TO win would be by the narrowest of margins -- 139.7 vs 133.8, and 14.8 to 14.9 TOs. So it's awfully close. Which conference do you think would win?!
Tuesday, February 12, 2019
7:39 PM
Playoff Picture: Feb 3
With four weeks left in the regular season, the postseason picture is starting to clarify, and also get bunched up! Remember, our new playoff format is: "Top eight teams in the Power Rankings are re-seeded, irrespective of conference. Each playoff round and consolation round will be re-seeded as well."
Barring big collapses, six of the spots are probably locked up, three each from Russell and Chamberlain Conference. Swamp Dragons, Chunky Monkeys, Fat Jubas from Russell and Squirtle Squad, Spade, and Sour Snails from Chamberlain.
There are also four certain Toilet Bowl participants, as Snack Bears, Hilt the Stilt, Team Cameltoe, and Another Bad Creation have all locked up appearances in the upcoming losers tourney
That leaves six teams on the bubble for two spots, teams with records ranging from 9-7 to 7-9, with a slew of possibilities in-between. Right now Team Thien and Funk Coalition are in with their dual 9-7 records but with another month of games to go, anything could happen. Let’s take a look at what’s ahead for our bubble teams.
Team Thien (9-7)
Boogie Time is mired in a 2-5 tailspin, especially after a WK16 loss to three-win Another Bad Creation last week. The return of DeMarcus Cousins — and the shocking productivity of Jahlil Okafor — helps but remaining matchups against three ten-win teams and a final week versus So Buckets could lead to Thien missing the playoffs for the first time in franchise history. Playoff Chance: 20%
Funk Coalition (9-7)
After suffering through two losses to ten-win teams, Funk picked up a short-handed win versus So Buckets last week and will now cruise into a soft last month of games, highlighted by matchups versus fellow bubble teams IL Conceived and LA Buffy, and then two of the surefire Toilet Bowl teams. The playoffs should be a lock! Playoff Chance: 90%
Fob Stars (8-7-1)
With a 7-1-1 record in the past two months, Fob Stars have been pretty much the hottest team in the league. The schedule toughens up considerably down the stretch though as they face Squirtle Squad, Sour Snails, and Spade to clean up the regular season. Fob has been through this gauntlet before though, and emerged from WK10-12 with two wins and a tie versus the exact same opponents, so it’s quite possible Fob has the firepower to compete with the best, assuming Jamal Murray returns from injury soon! Playoff Chance: 70%
So Buckets (8-7-1)
Since becoming a father in early December, So Buckets attention has been reasonably focused on their new responsibilities. Even though they sport one of the league’s best defenses, Buckets has been a little erratic week to week and while they have an easy matchup against Snack Bears this week, it’s likely their playoff hopes will come down to a WK20 matchup versus Team Thien, assuming they can beat one of Swamp Dragons or Fat Jubas in the coming weeks. Playoff Chance: 40%
LA Buffy (7-9)
Our league leader in Games Played, Buffy has been scrapping hard all year to stay in the playoff picture and they’ll need to keep fighting if they want to get into the playoffs. Three games against winning teams remain, including one each versus Chunky Monkeys and Swamp Dragons. Buffy will likely need three wins to enter the playoff picture and that is going to be awful difficult. Still, they’re statistically still in it! Playoff Chance: 10%
IL Conceived (7-9)
Left for dead after a 2-7 start, IL Conceived has somehow become an offensive powerhouse after being a defense-first team for most of the season. With key wins versus Fat Jubas, Team Thien, and Chunky Monkeys in the past month, IL Conceived now find themselves riding a 4-1 streak and could sneak into the playoff picture despite a tough last two weeks of the regular season. Still, with Luka Doncic on board, anything is possible! Playoff Chance: 15%
Barring big collapses, six of the spots are probably locked up, three each from Russell and Chamberlain Conference. Swamp Dragons, Chunky Monkeys, Fat Jubas from Russell and Squirtle Squad, Spade, and Sour Snails from Chamberlain.
There are also four certain Toilet Bowl participants, as Snack Bears, Hilt the Stilt, Team Cameltoe, and Another Bad Creation have all locked up appearances in the upcoming losers tourney
That leaves six teams on the bubble for two spots, teams with records ranging from 9-7 to 7-9, with a slew of possibilities in-between. Right now Team Thien and Funk Coalition are in with their dual 9-7 records but with another month of games to go, anything could happen. Let’s take a look at what’s ahead for our bubble teams.
Team Thien (9-7)
Boogie Time is mired in a 2-5 tailspin, especially after a WK16 loss to three-win Another Bad Creation last week. The return of DeMarcus Cousins — and the shocking productivity of Jahlil Okafor — helps but remaining matchups against three ten-win teams and a final week versus So Buckets could lead to Thien missing the playoffs for the first time in franchise history. Playoff Chance: 20%
Funk Coalition (9-7)
After suffering through two losses to ten-win teams, Funk picked up a short-handed win versus So Buckets last week and will now cruise into a soft last month of games, highlighted by matchups versus fellow bubble teams IL Conceived and LA Buffy, and then two of the surefire Toilet Bowl teams. The playoffs should be a lock! Playoff Chance: 90%
Fob Stars (8-7-1)
With a 7-1-1 record in the past two months, Fob Stars have been pretty much the hottest team in the league. The schedule toughens up considerably down the stretch though as they face Squirtle Squad, Sour Snails, and Spade to clean up the regular season. Fob has been through this gauntlet before though, and emerged from WK10-12 with two wins and a tie versus the exact same opponents, so it’s quite possible Fob has the firepower to compete with the best, assuming Jamal Murray returns from injury soon! Playoff Chance: 70%
So Buckets (8-7-1)
Since becoming a father in early December, So Buckets attention has been reasonably focused on their new responsibilities. Even though they sport one of the league’s best defenses, Buckets has been a little erratic week to week and while they have an easy matchup against Snack Bears this week, it’s likely their playoff hopes will come down to a WK20 matchup versus Team Thien, assuming they can beat one of Swamp Dragons or Fat Jubas in the coming weeks. Playoff Chance: 40%
LA Buffy (7-9)
Our league leader in Games Played, Buffy has been scrapping hard all year to stay in the playoff picture and they’ll need to keep fighting if they want to get into the playoffs. Three games against winning teams remain, including one each versus Chunky Monkeys and Swamp Dragons. Buffy will likely need three wins to enter the playoff picture and that is going to be awful difficult. Still, they’re statistically still in it! Playoff Chance: 10%
IL Conceived (7-9)
Left for dead after a 2-7 start, IL Conceived has somehow become an offensive powerhouse after being a defense-first team for most of the season. With key wins versus Fat Jubas, Team Thien, and Chunky Monkeys in the past month, IL Conceived now find themselves riding a 4-1 streak and could sneak into the playoff picture despite a tough last two weeks of the regular season. Still, with Luka Doncic on board, anything is possible! Playoff Chance: 15%
Monday, February 04, 2019
5:04 PM
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